GeoPredictions

_

RISQX

--

Global Risk Pulse

Quantified geopolitical risk intelligence. 10 indices, 164 active predictions.

See What's Moving

Sub-Indices

View all
Grid Infrastructure
94.0
-6.0
Ukraine
80.6
-7.8
AI Disruption
80.3
-15.8
Scarcity
74.7
+8.3
Iran
72.4
+0.1
Systemic Risk
60.9
-9.3
Biological Threat
60.5
-8.0
Trade & Sanctions
55.0
0.0
Crypto Sentiment
50.0
0.0
Nuclear
49.6
-7.1
Govt Shutdown
44.1
-7.3
Supply Chain
34.3
+5.4
Energy Security
33.5
+0.4
Taiwan
28.9
-10.9

Top Predictions

View all
NUCLEAR RISQXhigh

US Air Force increases purchase of bunker-buster bombs after Iran nuclear strikes

Our Probability
85%
Target: Mar 15, 2026
GRID RISQXhigh

Oil prices decline amid Iran-US nuclear talks

Our Probability
85%
Target: Mar 6, 2026
IRAN RISQXmedium

US military strike on Iran within Q1 2026

Our Probability
78%
Target: Feb 27, 2026
Get Full Analysis →

How RISQX Works

1.

We aggregate signals from 800+ OSINT sources including news, government filings, and social media across 10 geopolitical risk vectors.

2.

Each vector produces a sub-index (0-100) that quantifies fragility in that domain. The composite FRAG_RISQX is the weighted average.

3.

We track correlations between our indices and 46 market assets to identify which positions are most exposed to geopolitical risk.

Tracking 164 situations across 800+ sources